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Post by ayanami on Mar 3, 2018 0:34:02 GMT
Getting ready for the big night on Sunday! I have to admit, though, that my movie year 2017 remained very far away from any Oscar material, and I had seen not even a single nominated movie until a few days ago. I'm catching up, though!  Listed in order I've watched them in: - The Shape of Water: Mr. Saru plays a merman from the 60's and falls in love with the cleaning lady. Weird concept, kind of weird film, but I'd say very reasonable chances in all the visual categories as well as acting. - Get Out: Is this a joke? Like, seriously?!? Who slept with whom to get this moronic movie nominated in several of the major categories?? White folks gang up on the poor black guy in the suburb, with a plot resolution that most bad sci-fi shows would be ashamed of, including a five minutes scene where the main character just sits still while one of the villains monologues the explanation of what has been going on in the movie. The first movie ever I'm actually ashamed of seeing nominated! - Darkest Hour: And the Oscars for Best Actor in a Leading Role, as well as best Make-Up go to Darkest Hour! Two hours of Gary Oldman mumbling and me wishing that Colin Firth would have resumed his role as King George VI. Truly fantastic! - Dunkirk: Watching this one day after Darkest Hour is probably the best thing I could have done! Those two movies complete each other amazingly well. As a tip, though, don't watch this one while you're tired. Even though the entire dialogue of the movie probably fits on one piece of paper, the different plotlines intersect and interact in extremely complicated ways, while the time constantly cuts back and forth. My vote goes to Best Directing, maybe even Best Picture for this one. On a side note: If you have a ship, don't ever let Fionn Whitehead on it!!! - Phantom Thread: Daniel Day-Lewis as a particularly difficult dressmaker and his relationships with the two women in his life: His new love Alma (Vicky Krieps) and his big sister Cyril (Lesley Manville gets my vote for Best Supporting Actress!). My ending reaction: Y'all crazy motherf**kers!!! - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri: Wow, this one was truly amazing! My pick for Best Actress, Best Screenplay and probably Best Picture so far. Plus, Woody Harrelson and Sam Rockwell are giving each other a run for their money regarding Best Supporting Actor. I'm not so sure Jemma Simmons would like it much, though. The dialogue in this movie would not mix well with her filters!  - Lady Bird: Coming-off-age story of a girl just finishing highschool, dealing with her search for college, first love and her overly critical mom. Great performance by Saoirse Ronan, although I think Frances McDormand has Best Actress booked for Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missour. There might be a very close race for Best Supporting Actress, though, with Marion McPherson from Lady Bird challenging Phantom Thread's Lesley Manville. - Updates to follow as I keep watching... |
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Post by polgara on Mar 3, 2018 6:56:45 GMT
I think Dunkirk should get best Cinematography too. There were some amazing shots in that film!
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Post by ayanami on Mar 4, 2018 20:14:40 GMT
A few more hours to go and two more movies added to the list. My anxiety level is officially rising! |
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Post by Jemma Simmons on Mar 4, 2018 20:33:18 GMT
Ha! ayanami, I've never even heard of Three Billboards... but it sounds like there may be some naughty words. Actually, I haven't seen very many of the nominated pictures at all this year. I have The Shape of Water in my queue. I've loved del Toro since he did the Hellboy movies and he's been on my "I must watch all of his movies" list ever since Pan's Labyrinth. Also, it's about time Doug Jones gets some recognition! I also plan to watch Dunkirk, because I've heard incredible things about it. I did see Get Out. I didn't hate it. I think it's one of those movies that there's really no middle ground on. The sociopolitical commentary was pretty obvious. Honestly, I'm just hoping we don't have another mishap like last year where the wrong movie is called for Best Picture.  |
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Post by ayanami on Mar 4, 2018 20:41:21 GMT
Ha! ayanami , I've never even heard of Three Billboards... but it sounds like there may be some naughty words. Actually, I haven't seen very many of the nominated pictures at all this year. I have The Shape of Water in my queue. I've loved del Toro since he did the Hellboy movies and he's been on my "I must watch all of his movies" list ever since Pan's Labyrinth. Also, it's about time Doug Jones gets some recognition! I also plan to watch Dunkirk, because I've heard incredible things about it. I did see Get Out. I didn't hate it. I think it's one of those movies that there's really no middle ground on. The sociopolitical commentary was pretty obvious. Honestly, I'm just hoping we don't have another mishap like last year where the wrong movie is called for Best Picture. Yeah, I had only heard about Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri in passing so far, but I had a feeling it might be a strong contender, so I made sure to watch it in time for the awards. Not gonna make all the Best Picture nominees (once again), let alone all those other movies nominated in the other categories. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri is about a mother (Frances McDormand), who rents three billboards outside town, to call out the local sheriff, who still hasn't made an arrest in her daughter's murder case, even though it's been seven months. Great story and acting, I'd say it's my favourite so far. |
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Post by Jemma Simmons on Mar 4, 2018 20:52:28 GMT
Ha! ayanami , I've never even heard of Three Billboards... but it sounds like there may be some naughty words. Actually, I haven't seen very many of the nominated pictures at all this year. I have The Shape of Water in my queue. I've loved del Toro since he did the Hellboy movies and he's been on my "I must watch all of his movies" list ever since Pan's Labyrinth. Also, it's about time Doug Jones gets some recognition! I also plan to watch Dunkirk, because I've heard incredible things about it. I did see Get Out. I didn't hate it. I think it's one of those movies that there's really no middle ground on. The sociopolitical commentary was pretty obvious. Honestly, I'm just hoping we don't have another mishap like last year where the wrong movie is called for Best Picture. Yeah, I had only heard about Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri in passing so far, but I had a feeling it might be a strong contender, so I made sure to watch it in time for the awards. Not gonna make all the Best Picture nominees (once again), let alone all those other movies nominated in the other categories. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri is about a mother (Frances McDormand), who rents three billboards outside town, to call out the local sheriff, who still hasn't made an arrest in her daughter's murder case, even though it's been seven months. Great story and acting, I'd say it's my favourite so far. That actually sounds like a really interesting plot! I'll have to check it out! |
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Post by FreeKresge on Mar 5, 2018 0:40:04 GMT
I just returned home from seeing Ferdinand. This means that, for the first time, I have seen every nominee in every category. I will post my predictions and my preferences for each award. For some of the major categories, I will note someone that I wish were nominated. As I am posting this less than a half hour before the ceremony starts, most people will read this knowing who won and may be laughing at my predictions. Best Motion Picture of the YearWill Win: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, MissouriMy Choice: The Shape of WateriWish were nominated: Professor Marston and the Wonder Women Actually, The Shape of Wateri is the only film in my top-ten films of the year that was nominated, so there are quite a few that I wish were nominated that were not. Best Achievement in DirectingWill Win: Guillermo del Toro— The Shape of WateriMy Choice: Guillermo del Toro— The Shape of WateriWish were nominated: Dorota Kobiela and Hugh Welchman— Loving VincentBest Original ScreenplayWill Win: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri—Martin McDonagh My Choice: Lady Bird—Greta Gerwig Wish were nominated: Nacho Vigalondo— ColossalBest Adapted ScreenplayWill Win: Call Me by Your Name—James Ivory My Choice: Call Me by Your Name—James Ivory Wish were nominated: Roger Michell— My Cousin RachelBest Performance by an Actress in a Leading RoleWill Win: Frances McDormand— Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, MissouriMy Choice: Saoirse Ronan— Lady BirdWish were nominated: Sally Hawkins—[/i]Maudie
Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role
Will Win: Gary Oldman—Darkest Hour
My Choice: Timothée Chalamet—Call Me by Your Name
Wish were nominated: Ethan Hawke—Maudie
Is it just me, or would Timothée Chalamet be a good person to call if the writers on Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D. ever decided to retcon a younger brother for Fitz?
Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role
Will Win: Allison Janney—I, Tonya
My Choice: Allison Janney—I, Tonya
Wish were nominated: Hong Chau—Downsizing
Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role
Will Win: Sam Rockwell—Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
My Choice: Willem Dafoe—The Florida Project
Wish were nominated: Mark Hamill—Brigsby Bear
The next nine categories are very important. However, I tend to notice them only if they are distracting from the story. When they are good, I am focusing on the actors and the story instead. As a result, my preferences here are very weak.
Best Achievement in Cinematography
Will Win: Blade Runner 2049—Roger Deakins
My Choice: Blade Runner 2049—Roger Deakins
This is Deakins's 14th nomination. If my prediction is correct, this will be his first win. I can see Dunkirk making him 0-14.
Best Achievement in Film Editing
Will Win: Dunkirk—Lee Smith
My Choice: Dunkirk—Lee Smith
Actually, I think that this will be a coin flip between Dunkirk and I, Tonya.
Best Achievement in Production Design
Will Win: Blade Runner 2049—Dennis Gassner, Alessandra Querzola
My Choice: Blade Runner 2049—Dennis Gassner, Alessandra Querzola
Best Achievement in Costume Design
Will Win: Phantom Thread—Mark Bridges
My Choice: Phantom Thread—Mark Bridges
Best Achievement in Makeup and Hairstyling
Will Win: Darkest Hour—Kazuhiro Tsuji, David Malinowski, Lucy Sibbick
My Choice: Darkest Hour—Kazuhiro Tsuji, David Malinowski, Lucy Sibbick
Best Achievement in Visual Effects
Will Win: Blade Runner 2049—John Nelson, Gerd Nefzer, Paul Lambert, Richard R. Hoover
My Choice: Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2—Christopher Townsend, Guy Williams, Jonathan Fawkner, Daniel Sudick
I think that this will be a coin flop between Blade Runner 2049 and War for the Planet of the Apes. I do not necessarily believe that Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 has the best visual effects, but I would like it to win for something, and this is the only possibility.
Best Achievement in Sound Editing
Will Win: Blade Runner 2049—Mark A. Mangini, Theo Green
My Choice: I have no preference
Best Achievement in Sound Mixing
Will Win: Blade Runner 2049—Ron Bartlett, Doug Hemphill, Mac Ruth
My Choice: I have no preference
Best Achievement in Music (Original Score)
Will Win: The Shape of Wateri—Alexandre Desplat
My Choice: I have no preference
I will be honest and say that my prediction here is just a wild guess.
Best Achievement in Music (Original Song)
Will Win: Coco—Kristen Anderson-Lopez, Robert Lopez ("Remember Me")
My Choice: Coco—Kristen Anderson-Lopez, Robert Lopez ("Remember Me")
Best Foreign Language Film of the Year
Will Win: A Fantastic Woman—Chile
My Choice: On Body and Soul—Hungary
Wish were nominated: A Taxi Driver—South Korea
Best Animated Feature Film
Will Win: Coco—Lee Unkrich, Darla K. Anderson
My Choice: Loving Vincent—Dorota Kobiela, Hugh Welchman, Ivan Mactaggart
Wish were nominated: The Lego Batman Movie
Actually, most years, there is at least one nomination for a very good but obscure animated film that depends on getting a nomination for a wider release. I wish that one or two of those films got that opportunity instead of the mediocre {i]The Boss Baby or Ferdinand. Best Documentary FeatureWill Win: Faces Places—Agnès Varda, Rosalie Varda, JR My Choice: Icarus—Bryan Fogel, Dan Cogan Wish were nominated: An Inconvenient Sequel: Truth to PowerBest Animated Short FilmWill Win: "Dear Basketball"—Glen Keane, Kobe Bryant My Choice: "Dear Basketball"—Glen Keane, Kobe Bryant Best Documentary Short SubjectWill Win: "Heroin(e)"—Elaine McMillion Sheldon, Kerrin Sheldon My Choice: "Heaven is a Traffic Jam on the 405"—Frank Stiefel Best Live Action Short FilmWill Win: "DeKalb Elementary"—Reed Van Dyk My Choice: "The Eleven O'Clock"—Derin Seale, Josh Lawson |
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I'll be spending next weekend with some family I like and trying to avoid any remotely controversial conversations with others that I spend the rest of the year avoiding 